“The end of arms-control regimes marks a shift from regulated rivalry to strategic ambiguity”. In this context examine the statement and analyse its impact on crisis stability. Assess its long-term implications for global security.
Kartavya Desk Staff
Topic: Effect of policies and politics of developed and developing countries on India’s interests
Topic: Effect of policies and politics of developed and developing countries on India’s interests
Q3. “The end of arms-control regimes marks a shift from regulated rivalry to strategic ambiguity”. In this context examine the statement and analyse its impact on crisis stability. Assess its long-term implications for global security. (15 M)
Difficulty Level: Medium
Reference: NIE
Why the question The weakening of global arms-control regimes amid intensifying great-power rivalry has raised concerns about crisis instability and the durability of the international security architecture. Key Demand of the question The question requires examining the shift from regulated rivalry to strategic ambiguity following the decline of arms-control regimes, analysing its immediate impact on crisis stability, and assessing its long-term implications for global security. Structure of the Answer Introduction Briefly set the context of arms-control regimes as stabilising mechanisms in great-power competition and their recent erosion in a changing geopolitical environment. Body Examine how the end of arms-control regimes transforms regulated rivalry into strategic ambiguity. Analyse the effects of this ambiguity on crisis stability, escalation risks and decision-making. Assess the long-term implications of sustained strategic ambiguity for global security and the rules-based order. Conclusion Conclude by highlighting the need for renewed restraint mechanisms and adaptive arms-control frameworks to preserve crisis stability and long-term global security.
Why the question The weakening of global arms-control regimes amid intensifying great-power rivalry has raised concerns about crisis instability and the durability of the international security architecture.
Key Demand of the question The question requires examining the shift from regulated rivalry to strategic ambiguity following the decline of arms-control regimes, analysing its immediate impact on crisis stability, and assessing its long-term implications for global security.
Structure of the Answer
Introduction Briefly set the context of arms-control regimes as stabilising mechanisms in great-power competition and their recent erosion in a changing geopolitical environment.
• Examine how the end of arms-control regimes transforms regulated rivalry into strategic ambiguity.
• Analyse the effects of this ambiguity on crisis stability, escalation risks and decision-making.
• Assess the long-term implications of sustained strategic ambiguity for global security and the rules-based order.
Conclusion Conclude by highlighting the need for renewed restraint mechanisms and adaptive arms-control frameworks to preserve crisis stability and long-term global security.